Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.039485 0.045831 0.052876 0.061280 0.071033 0.082003 0.095284
2025-12-21 0.029031 0.037176 0.047140 0.060238 0.077019 0.097829 0.125643
2025-12-28 0.023764 0.032799 0.044704 0.061560 0.084855 0.115990 0.160895
2026-01-04 0.019916 0.029227 0.042263 0.061878 0.090727 0.131731 0.194696
2026-01-11 0.017063 0.026397 0.040166 0.062002 0.095886 0.146678 0.229018
2026-01-18 0.015052 0.024405 0.038859 0.062883 0.101988 0.163457 0.268059
2026-01-25 0.013600 0.023015 0.038193 0.064521 0.109290 0.182777 0.313501
2026-02-01 0.011733 0.020648 0.035589 0.062539 0.110240 0.191720 0.342692
2026-02-08 0.010446 0.019068 0.034052 0.062090 0.113615 0.204971 0.380842
2026-02-15 0.009334 0.017634 0.032558 0.061465 0.116497 0.217558 0.419257
2026-02-22 0.008604 0.016795 0.032008 0.062458 0.122410 0.236251 0.471405
2026-03-01 0.007805 0.015714 0.030861 0.062138 0.125714 0.250335 0.516305
2026-03-08 0.006941 0.014410 0.029156 0.060558 0.126441 0.259716 0.553539
2026-03-15 0.006169 0.013192 0.027473 0.058808 0.126601 0.267998 0.589708
2026-03-22 0.005768 0.012697 0.027196 0.059953 0.132973 0.289890 0.658077
2026-03-29 0.005333 0.012071 0.026563 0.060233 0.137485 0.308328 0.721254
2026-04-05 0.004932 0.011466 0.025897 0.060348 0.141620 0.326410 0.786039
2026-04-12 0.004627 0.011041 0.025577 0.061204 0.147554 0.349263 0.865185
2026-04-19 0.004401 0.010770 0.025573 0.062797 0.155430 0.377585 0.961506
2026-04-26 0.003969 0.009949 0.024185 0.060869 0.154481 0.384694 1.005741
2026-05-03 0.003671 0.009422 0.023438 0.060432 0.157195 0.401095 1.076107
2026-05-10 0.003392 0.008908 0.022663 0.059824 0.159386 0.416441 1.145805
2026-05-17 0.003220 0.008652 0.022502 0.060790 0.165830 0.443518 1.251024